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Flash: USD/JPY to rally? – TD Securities

FXstreet.com (London) - Research teams at TD Securities noted USD/JPY has recovered from the low 97 range—major trend support—and, today at least, is trading quite strongly.

Key Quotes:

“The bounce from trend and 200-day MA supports defies the soft technical tone we had identified here before. Essentially, USD/JPY remains in a range and it is a range that is steadily tightening”.

“While downside supports hold, the broader pattern of trade looks more like a consolidation of the late 2012/2013 rally”.

“Now, a clear push through the 99.20 triangle top would imply the risk of a renewed leg higher”.

“Oscillator studies are mixed over various timeframes, suggesting more range trading, however, so we may need to see gains extending well significantly (above 100.50) to signal a rally”.

EUR/USD to drop back to 1.3100 in next few weeks?

EUR/USD is sub the 1.3500 handle at the end of this week, which might be significant going forward. Research teams at TD Securities offered further insight and explained that the risk of a correction in EUR/USD that they highlighted last week has been realized but the drop in the EUR has been more severe than we imagined.
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Flash: Upset for the EUR/USD – BTMU

Derek Halpenny, currency strategist at The Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ said the key event that has altered the recent trend of dollar selling versus the euro was the very surprise weakness of the HICP data from the euro-zone yesterday.
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